Architecture Meets Alpha

Where Architecture Meets Alpha

Bridging the gap between frontier AI architecture and investment decision-making. Our research deconstructs model design, GPU economics, and inference infrastructure across the US-China AI landscape, turning engineering breakthroughs into actionable intelligence for capital allocators.

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Research Reports

Continuous technical tracking and in-depth analysis of frontier large models — the leading open-source releases and the closed commercial systems alike. Everything is read first-hand: technical papers, published open-source documentation and model configuration files, and the hardware the models actually run on. Behind it sits a quantitative framework we keep evolving — it measures a model’s token-generation path, its computational complexity and its performance on specific silicon, then sets that against commercial pricing. That is what turns an architecture choice into a cost per token, and what exposes the cost structure underneath the token economy.

Research #16 October 13, 2026 Roofline 中文版

The Convergence Thesis: How China's Open-Weight Labs Are Building the Same Model

An observation from AI circles holds that China's open-weight labs are converging on linear attention, sparse attention with an indexer, residual upgrades and Muon. Using it as a lens on 30+ shipped configs from ten labs, with DeepSeek V4 as baseline and Artificial Analysis market data: every lab is lowering bytes/token, while FLOPs/byte and market value still diverge.

Kimi K3Qwen3.8GLM-5.3DeepSeek V4KDADSA
Research #15 April 27, 2026 Interactive

DeepSeek V4: Architecture & Performance Deep Dive

An interactive deep-dive into DeepSeek V4-Pro's 1.6T/49B MoE architecture, Multi-Latent Attention (MLA) dimension explosion, CSA/HCA hybrid compression, and quantitative performance modeling across H100/H200/H800/B200 hardware. Includes live calculator and SVG architecture blueprint.

DeepSeekV4-ProMLAArchitectureInteractive
Research #14 March 11, 2026

Qwen: Leadership Departures and Portfolio Strategy

Alibaba's Qwen family has become the de facto standard foundation for AI development in Asia, Southeast Asia, and increasingly, the global South. With over 200,000 HuggingFace derivatives and approxim...

AlibabaQwenOpen SourceLeadership
Research #13 March 3, 2026

Model Distillation: What the 16 Million Query Claim Shows

The discovery of 16 million API exchanges between Chinese AI companies and US frontier models has triggered a firestorm of policy debate, venture capital hand-wringing, and diplomatic posturing. But t...

DistillationUS-ChinaRLPolicy
Research #12 January 16, 2026

mHC vs DLCM: Two Approaches to Architectural Efficiency

Two distinct architectural philosophies have emerged in 2025-2026 to address the fundamental constraint facing non-US AI developers: silicon scarcity. DeepSeek's Manifold-Constrained Hyper Connections...

DeepSeekByteDanceArchitecturemHC
Research #11 December 17, 2025

DeepSeek V3.2: Sparse Attention and Two-Stage Training

DeepSeek's V3.2 release represents a fundamental inflection point in the sparse attention frontier. By combining Dynamic Sparse Attention (DSA) with a novel scalable reinforcement learning framework, ...

DeepSeekSparse AttentionV3.2RL
Research #10 November 17, 2025

Kimi K2: Native INT4 Quantization and Inference Cost

Moonshot AI's Kimi K2 represents a critical inflection point in AI systems design: the deliberate embrace of hardware constraints as architectural directives. Rather than designing models for theoreti...

MoonshotKimi K2INT4Quantization
Research #09 October 3, 2025

Alibaba Qwen: Architecture and Enterprise Readiness

Alibaba's Qwen ecosystem has emerged as one of the most strategically ambitious open-source AI initiatives globally, positioning itself as an alternative to proprietary foundation models dominated by ...

AlibabaQwenOpen SourceEcosystem
Research #08 September 24, 2025

Nvidia to Ascend: Migration Timelines and Technical Friction

China's strategic pivot from Nvidia to domestic GPUs (Huawei Ascend, Cambricon, Ali T-head) is technically feasible but not frictionless. The transition is neither a binary replacement nor a multi-yea...

NvidiaHuawei AscendMigrationCUDA
Research #07 August 7, 2025

AI Inference Economics: Where Model Hosting Loses Money

The AI inference market is in the midst of a silent profitability crisis that will reshape the competitive landscape within 12-24 months. Detailed server economics reveal that operating commodity 120B...

InferenceGPU EconomicsCost AnalysisH100
Research #06 July 25, 2025

Humanoid Robotics: VLA Architectures East and West

The humanoid robotics market has bifurcated into two technically incompatible visions, and this divergence will likely determine which regions dominate embodied AI through 2035. The Western approach—e...

RoboticsVLAHumanoidEmbodied AI
Research #05 May 19, 2025

DeepSeek R2: A Forecast From the Paper Trail

DeepSeek's R2 represents a fundamental shift in large language model architecture and a strategic repositioning around hardware sovereignty. The model marks the company's evolution from specialized re...

DeepSeekMultimodalAscendR2
Research #04 May 2, 2025

MCP: Agent Protocol Standards and Ecosystem Lock-In

The Model Context Protocol (MCP), developed by Anthropic as an open standard for connecting AI agents to tools and data sources, has rapidly emerged as a critical infrastructure layer in the AI stack....

MCPAI AgentsInfrastructureCloud
Research #03 April 7, 2025

AI Model Pricing: China vs US Rate Structures

The AI pricing war initiated by DeepSeek and accelerated by Chinese cloud providers represents a structural disruption to the AI infrastructure market that will reshape competitive dynamics and applic...

PricingAPI EconomicsDeepSeekGPU Cloud
Research #02 February 7, 2025

DeepSeek: Training Cost and Deployment Economics

DeepSeek represents the most significant disruption to AI economics in the post-transformer era. By developing the 671B-parameter V3 model for approximately $5M in training costs and achieving competi...

DeepSeekMoETraining CostOpen Source
Research #01 December 18, 2024

Baidu: ERNIE and Apollo Go Economics

Baidu stands at an inflection point in its transformation from a search-dominated business to an integrated AI infrastructure and application provider. With Q3 2024 revenues of $4.78B, the company fac...

BaiduERNIERobotaxiChina AI

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